Are the Yankees Becoming Cheap?
This offseason has been a little frustrating as a Yankees
fan. The team is coming off a fantastic 2018 season. 100 wins is nothing to
scoff at, plus the team has one of the best young cores in the game, while also
getting the payroll below the luxury tax threshold, an accomplishment that’s
been in the works for a seemingly long time. Those 100 wins ultimately weren’t
enough, as the Boston Red Sox were even greater; 108 regular season wins and a
World Series title to top it off. So now it’s time for the Yankees to make the
additions to make it to the top right?
Well not exactly. The Yankees quickly traded for James
Paxton, and have re-signed J.A. Happ and Zach Britton (who both only spent half
the season in New York last year) to appropriate deals. They even signed DJ
LeMahieu to a two-year deal. These additions are all great but for a lot of
fans, seems to be insufficient. The big disappointment early in the offseason
was when Patrick Corbin signed to the Nationals after many fans, and not just
Yankees fans, thought it was a given that New York would give the best pitcher
on the market whatever deal he wanted. Now as we approach Spring Training, it
looks less and less likely that Manny Machado, probably the best free agent
available and a serious upgrade at third base, will get the contract he desires
from New York. I thought New York was going to blow up after Corbin went to Washington
DC, just imagine if Machado ends up somewhere else.
When Corbin signed, some very, very bold claims were made about the Yankees and their ownership: they were cheaping out on us. For years they talked about getting below the luxury tax threshold and they finally achieved it. What was the hold up now? Why not, as Phillies owner John Middleton said he plans on doing, spend stupidly? I gave the Steinbrennars a pass for the time being but it’s getting uncomfortably close to spring time now.
View interactive chart for each MLB team's payroll percentage and the Yankees' yearly payroll and revenue |
Revenue isn’t the best number to look at and obviously
profit would be. The Yankees are a team that I’m sure has high expenses,
including expenses that go towards making the product on the field better. You
have to imagine that a team that has been so successful recently with young
talent spends a lot on player development and scouting, and it’s known that the
Yankees have one of the largest analytics departments in Major League Baseball.
Nevertheless, Forbes’ revenue listings for each team (from 2017, 2018’s hasn’t
been released yet) are what we have to work with, with the privately-owned
businesses that are baseball teams not having to publish their expense reports.
Also, there’s still some value in knowing simply this: of all the money a team
makes, how much do they spend on their roster?
I mention this of course because the Yankees are second to
last. Two of the four bottom teams, the White Sox and Phillies, are young
big-market teams going through rebuilds. The Yankees, while also a young team
rebuilding, are a team in win-now mode after winning 91 and 100 games the past
two seasons with their young core. Here's a look at what the team should look like in 2019, with 33 players I expect to get at least decent playing time:
Click here for an interactive view. |
I think the dilemma here is deciding whether they’re
cheaping out on us or if they just now refuse to sign long-term deals at this
point. Surely we can’t call an ownership group cheap when they’ve been willing
to sign relievers like Andrew Miller and Aroldis Chapman to deals that were
considered to have average annual values too high for relief pitchers at the
time. Even now, they sign Zach Britton and LeMahieu to deals now considered
reasonable, but it’s still closer-money for someone who won’t be closing and
someone who probably won’t be starting throughout the season. Clearly spending
money on the right guy for a couple years isn’t an issue. But long-term deals?
I think the Yankees are shell-shocked from past deals, especially Alex
Rodriguez’s extension. It’s something that’s been talked about a lot: many
long-term free agent deals do not work out as the player quickly ages past his
prime. The shift seemed to start when the Yankees passed on re-signing Robinson
Cano to a 10-year deal (and I bet the success in doing so reinforced future
decisions), and now that they continue to live with Jacoby Ellsbury, I think
the Yankees are just done with those type of contracts.
Is it possible for a team to be at a point of just not
caring that a contract is bad? I understand why the Yankees are hesitant to
sign someone like Patrick Corbin to six seasons. If a contract looks like it’ll
end up bad, then it makes sense not to sign it. On the other hand, part of me
still would want him anyways. If payroll is lower than usual already because of
the number of team-controlled players, and revenue keeps rising, is their
really much risk? Team payroll probably still wouldn’t be as high as it was
five years ago. If he ends up great, then a 100-win team gets even better, and
if he’s bad, you still have a team that’s a 100-win team.
If you’re a great team with money to spend, then why not
sign the biggest guys, even if it hurts you in the future? I know it’s not my
money. But I really want another title.
Revenue figures are from Forbes and payroll from Spotrac. Graphics made in Tableau.
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