Sabermiketrics

Dinelson Lamet Age: 27, Team: San Diego Padres ADP: 130.8, Projected points: 348 Lamet has elite strikeout stuff. As a rookie in 2017, he posted a 28.7 K%. Coming back in 2019, after missing all of 2018 with Tommy John surgery, he had an even better 33.5%. Lamet’s strikeout prowess has been on display his whole career, but it hasn’t translated into major success yet; his ERA has been over 4.00 in each of his two seasons and FIP and other alternatives don’t suggest a breakout is due. The hope is that someone with skillset of Lamet is prime breakout candidate. It’s hard not to get excited about, although the early ADP is troubling for someone with risky upside. At worst, he’ll continue to struggle to go more than five innings per start, pitch to an ERA over 4.00, and rack up lots and lots of strikeouts. I think his floor is still high enough to warrant the gamble on a breakout. I’m excited to see what he can do in his first full season. Highlight : Watch him strikeout 14 ...

Heading into the draft, it's always important to me to look out for players who may breakout, bounce back, are a safe bet, and everything in between. To start, I have eight players: two who were breakout players from last year, two rookies looking to impress into 2020, a player coming off a major injury, and three old reliables who always get drafted late. Enjoy! Luis Arraez Positions: 2B/OF, Age: 23, Team: Minnesota Twins ADP: 275.4, Projected points; 343 Arraez went under-the-radar in 2019. I think most of it has to do with the volume of great rookies in 2019, but part of it has to be his play style. Arraez has close to no power, hardly ever strikes out, and has great contact skills. That skill set is unique enough, let alone for someone who played for the all-time home run hitting team, the 2019 Minnesota Twins. In 2019, Arraez slashed .334/.399/.439 in 92 games, all while walking at an above average rate (9.8%) and an even lower K rate (7.9%). His batting aver...